Lots of conservative Conciliarists believe that the 1991 "fall" of the Soviet Union and Iron Curtain were the result of Wojtyla's consecration. Dimonds believe that it was caused by the Pius XII consecration.
I don't believe either. I believe that God's intent here is for there to be such an obvious, immediate, and dramatic effect so that the entire world will almost be forced to acknowledge her intercession as well as the papacy and the Catholic Church in general. That will coincide with the Triump / Restoration of the Church.
For all we know, Bergoglio got tipped off by his Globhomo buddies that Russia intends to withdraw from Ukraine on March 25th or March 26th, so that Berogoglio could take credit for it.
But unless Bergoglio converts and restores the Traditional Church, abolishes Vatican II, etc. etc. ... it won't be a genuine consecration accepted by God and Our Lady. Third Secret of Fatima was about the "apostasy that begins at the top", and not merely about wars.