Author Topic: Business Insider forecast of primary elections  (Read 347 times)

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Offline Neil Obstat

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Offline MaterDominici

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Business Insider forecast of primary elections
« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2016, 11:28:00 PM »
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  • That's interesting, but most states are not winner-take-all, so the video's usefulness is limited.
    "I think that Catholicism, that's as sane as people can get."  - Jordan Peterson


    Offline MaterDominici

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    Business Insider forecast of primary elections
    « Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 12:28:49 AM »
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    Business Weekly has a video predicting Cruz will win the Texas primary but it won't be enough to carry his campaign past Trump's.


    The numbers were interesting but to grab an entire state on Super Tuesday, you'd have to have at least 50% and many of the states don't even have winner-take-all as a possibility.

    I do find it interesting to watch these things play out. If the three lower guys drop out, you have anywhere from 15 to as much as 30% of the votes up for grabs. If they stay in and spread the delegate count out more, than it could get really hairy if no one reaches 50%. I don't think that will happen, but the point is that the process is way more complicated than this video portrays.
    "I think that Catholicism, that's as sane as people can get."  - Jordan Peterson


     

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