It may not be rigged, but it was heavily favored towards Leo XIV. I am becoming increasingly convinced that he is who Francis hand-picked and groomed as his successor.
Here's how you know: Why else was he made a Cardinal only two and a half years ago? Why did he go from being consecrated as a bishop to Pope in 10 years? The 10th anniversary of his consecration as Bishop of Chiclayo, Peru, was just this past December.
They're very similar in practice: Both spent much time in impoverished parts of South America, both are theologically fairly liberal, both are big fans of "synodality," and both were heavy critics of Trump, Vance, and GOP immigration policy.
I tend to think that a lot of them thought going in "we'll pull for our guy [Parolin/Tagle/Sarah/Erdo/whomever], but if there's not enough momentum to swing things our way after a couple of ballots, then we can probably pretty much agree on Prevost, and get this thing over with, rather than grinding down to a deadlock".
Seen that way, it was probably a foregone conclusion among the cardinals.