Send CathInfo's owner Matthew a gift from his Amazon wish list:
https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/25M2B8RERL1UO

Author Topic: Something going to happen on October 6??  (Read 1099 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Matthew

  • Mod
  • *****
  • Posts: 31168
  • Reputation: +27088/-494
  • Gender: Male
Something going to happen on October 6??
« on: October 01, 2006, 08:23:56 PM »
  • Thanks!0
  • No Thanks!0
  • INITIAL POST 09.30.06

    A faithful reader and commentator, "A. Magnus" writes has written the following email, posted to FMNN General Feedback:

    "Do you like October suprises? Is there a big bang coming to hit the markets? If you believe that those in the know use insider information before major events then you might be interested on the HUGE number of October 6th put options for the big indexes. Check out the concentrated puts on the Diamonds DOW Trust (DIA):

    https://fastquote.fidelity.com/webxpress/ia_optionchain_frameset.phtml?priced=Y&SID_VALUE_ID=DIA

    Ditto for the S&P Depository Receipts (SPY):

    https://fastquote.fidelity.com/webxpress/ia_optionchain_frameset.phtml?priced=Y&SID_VALUE_ID=SPY

    And the NASDAQ (QQQQ):
    https://fastquote.fidelity.com/webxpress/ia_optionchain_frameset.phtml?priced=Y&SID_VALUE_ID=QQQQ

    Even the Market Vectors Gold Miners has significant puts for October 6th:

    https://fastquote.fidelity.com/webxpress/ia_optionchain_frameset.phtml?priced=Y&SID_VALUE_ID=GDX

    Make no mistake - something wicked this way comes, and the smart money has already taken preventative steps."
    Want to say "thank you"? 
    You can send me a gift from my Amazon wishlist!
    https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/25M2B8RERL1UO

    Paypal donations: matthew@chantcd.com


    Offline Matthew

    • Mod
    • *****
    • Posts: 31168
    • Reputation: +27088/-494
    • Gender: Male
    Something going to happen on October 6??
    « Reply #1 on: October 04, 2006, 10:16:19 AM »
  • Thanks!0
  • No Thanks!0
  • Update! More details on "Betting on a collapse" insider trading:

    WARNING: The following is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

    Let's take a look at the out of the money option bets on the Diamonds, the ETF that tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Why use the out of the money numbers? Because that's where the criminals would make the most money on an October surprise.

    From today's option action on DIAMONDS Trust, Series 1 (DIA):
    Open Interest in Out of the Money PUT OPTIONS, Expire at Close Fri, Oct 20, 2006:
    189295

    Open Interest in Out of the Money CALL OPTIONS, Expire at Close Fri, Oct 20, 2006:
    15842
    189295 puts / 15842 calls = 11.95 times more puts vs. calls.

    So, on this historic day, with the triumphant Dow "soaring" to a glorious, record high, the amount of money being placed on very speculative bets that the Dow is going to decline substantially by October 20 is nearly 12 times the amount of money being bet that the Dow will rise substantially by October 20.

    In case you're interested, total open interest on DIA is calls 87908 vs puts 197303 or 2.24 times more puts vs. calls.

    Hmm. That's interesting no matter how you slice it. I might just have to keep track of this over time. Anyone know of some free method of charting an out of the money put / call ratio? Doing it manually is a bit of a pain. I managed to get Open Office Calc to parse the DIA data tables right out of Yahoo, then I do a sumif on column Last < 1, add column Open Int. Doing this on both calls and puts gives me the out of the money open interest on each. Now, if I could somehow automatically store the results from these sumifs on different rows each day... I'll just copy and paste them for now.
    Want to say "thank you"? 
    You can send me a gift from my Amazon wishlist!
    https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/25M2B8RERL1UO

    Paypal donations: matthew@chantcd.com


    Offline Matthew

    • Mod
    • *****
    • Posts: 31168
    • Reputation: +27088/-494
    • Gender: Male
    Something going to happen on October 6??
    « Reply #2 on: October 05, 2006, 03:08:12 PM »
  • Thanks!0
  • No Thanks!0
  • From the same website -- It gets even worse!

    Remember the Dow Diamonds options story from yesterday? With 11.95 times the number of out of the money puts to calls?

    I created a little tool that automatically does the calculations for me on the Diamonds. When I ran it today, I was sure that the thing was broken, so I did the math by hand. Nope, the thing wasn't broken. It was correct.

    From today's option action on DIAMONDS Trust, Series 1 (DIA):
    Open Interest in Out of the Money PUT OPTIONS, Expire at Close Fri, Oct 20, 2006:
    200659

    Open Interest in Out of the Money CALL OPTIONS, Expire at Close Fri, Oct 20, 2006:
    10460
    200659 puts / 10460 calls = 19.18 times more puts vs. calls.

    This is one of those short squeezes where you just stand back, look at the thing in awe and mumble to yourself.
    Want to say "thank you"? 
    You can send me a gift from my Amazon wishlist!
    https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/25M2B8RERL1UO

    Paypal donations: matthew@chantcd.com