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Author Topic: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation  (Read 2868 times)

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Offline Matthew

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Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
« on: May 10, 2021, 05:40:07 AM »
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    • It just hit me today --

    When the dollar loses lots of value, quicker than people's minds can adjust to higher prices (no one is ready for $10 gallons milk), what happens much quicker is SHORTAGES OF EVERYTHING, as anyone "stupid enough" to trade STUFF for DEVALUED CURRENCY quickly finds a buyer.

    Just like if I went out on the street and said, "Who wants to give me 2 $5 bills for my $20?" I would have PLENTY of customers. In fact, there would be a SHORTAGE because eventually I'd run out of $20 bills. I'd have people lining up all day to make that deal! THERE WOULD BE A WAITING LIST.

    If a store started selling something -- a useful, practical item that EVERYONE NEEDS -- for 50% off, there would certainly be a shortage of supply. They'd restock in the morning, and it would be sold out (again) within hours. Because the price is 1/2 of what it should be.

    Now apply that to all the shortages (basically a waiting list -- not enough supply to meet demand) they're talking about in the news:

    Housing shortage
    Computer chip shortage
    Copper shortage
    Wood shortage
    Labor shortage

    When they're a shortage of "everything", you're basically in severe inflation, or even hyperinflation.

    Another example: when they keep silver/gold prices artificially low, what happens? The Treasury always sells out of Silver ounces within minutes. It's because the REAL VALUE is actually higher than the official price -- and everyone knows it.
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    Online Ladislaus

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #1 on: May 10, 2021, 07:23:24 AM »
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    • Add iron ore, steel, fuel, and many food items to the list.  They’re doing this on purpose to crash the economy and bring on the Great Reset ... under the cover of COVID, which can be conveniently blamed for it.  Schwab clearly stated his intentions.
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    Offline Matthew

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #2 on: May 10, 2021, 07:38:36 AM »
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    • Again, I want to emphasize my point.

    If silver or gold were properly priced, there would be as many people wanting to SELL for today's price as those wanting to BUY for today's price. But when the price something is artificially low (for whatever reason: psychology, manipulation, inertia, etc.) then you end up with SCARCITY of that item. Too many customers chasing too few bargains.

    Anything that is selling, today, for less than twice last year's price is basically a BARGAIN and smart people know it.

    If you had to sink your money into physical things -- say you knew your money would be toilet paper by next week -- what items would you want to buy first? Practical stuff, right?

    So my theory is: these practical items -- stuff everyone needs -- will be the CANARY IN THE COALMINE that our currency is actively plunging in value.

    If a store started selling something -- a useful, practical item that EVERYONE NEEDS -- for 50% off, there would certainly be a shortage of supply. They'd restock in the morning, and it would be sold out (again) within hours. Because the price is 1/2 of what it should be.

    And you know the you-know-hews are doing this. Buying up land, real estate, materials, etc.
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    Offline Pax Vobis

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #3 on: May 10, 2021, 09:49:44 AM »
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    • Based on economists I’ve been listening to, they think the housing market has peaked and will start to decline, as in 2007/08.  But with the added inflation of food on the horizon, the housing decline could be real big.  
    .
    He also says that the lumber shortages were based on 3 things, and will decline by end of summer.  1) CÖVÌD shutdown of production (ie less supply), 2) increase of house projects since people didn’t spend $ on travel and were working from home (ie increase demand), 3) lumber yards hoarding wood in an attempt to drive up prices and make a short term profit (ie decrease supply).  But at some point, prices will come back down.  
    .
    In the last 6 months we’ve seen prices rise for all kinds of things (food, tp) the same reasons as above.  Fewer people are working (ie less supply), while they still have same demand (due to CÖVÌD stimulus).
    .
    In the grand scheme of things, yes, big time inflation is coming because of the continued devalue of the dollar.  Import costs will rise and the scariest thing....those things that we actually make in the US, will be exported because US manufacturers will make more money selling to foreign countries than to selling to its own citizens. What an !&%# backwards nightmare.
    .
    YouTube = economic ninja.  He’s a small business/real estate guy from California.  Explains stuff very well. 
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    Online Ladislaus

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #4 on: May 10, 2021, 11:25:29 AM »
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    • I don't quite buy the alleged "causes" of these shortages.  I think it's all deliberate and engineered.
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    Offline Pax Vobis

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #5 on: May 10, 2021, 11:38:43 AM »
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    • Yes, it’s planned because it’s all being blamed, ultimately, on the Covid shutdown.  But there are also localized, additional reasons for the shortages, which make it worse.  
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    Offline Stubborn

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #6 on: May 10, 2021, 11:51:15 AM »
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    • Quote from: Pax Vobis on May 10, 2021, 11:38:43 AM
    Yes, it’s planned because it’s all being blamed, ultimately, on the CÖVÌD shutdown.  But there are also localized, additional reasons for the shortages, which make it worse.  

    Quote from: Ladislaus on May 10, 2021, 11:25:29 AM
    I don't quite buy the alleged "causes" of these shortages.  I think it's all deliberate and engineered.

    Absolutely correct on both accounts.

    The guy at the lumber yard said at current prices, just the materials alone for building house costs around $300-$350 per square foot in these parts, which is insane. That's like $500,000 for a 1500 sq ft house.

    Standard drain pipe (pvc schedule 40 / 4 inch x 10 ft long) is $55.00, whereas just a few months ago it was $18.00. Now they're talking about a shortage of truck drivers, which is nothing but conditioning us for sky rocketing prices on everything before long.
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    Offline Stubborn

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #7 on: May 10, 2021, 11:55:27 AM »
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    • These guys are offering $14k / week for truck drivers.
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    Offline Yeti

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #8 on: May 10, 2021, 01:09:11 PM »
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    • Of course there's inflation! You get inflation when you increase the money supply too fast. The government has printed vast oceans of money since March of 2020, at the same time that it prohibited most economic activity. This results in inflation. Even a child can understand this.
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    Offline Yeti

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #9 on: May 10, 2021, 01:12:18 PM »
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    • Quote from: Pax Vobis on May 10, 2021, 09:49:44 AM
    He also says that the lumber shortages were based [...] lumber yards hoarding wood in an attempt to drive up prices and make a short term profit (ie decrease supply).
    .
    If I understand correctly, this is exactly what Matthew is saying. In other words, lumber yards have stopped selling lumber because they think the current market price does not reflect its true value, or expect the price to rise quickly very soon, so they will just wait until that happens to sell. This in turn reduces the supply for sale, driving up prices even more, an inflationary cycle.
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    Online Ladislaus

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #10 on: May 10, 2021, 01:19:40 PM »
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    • Quote from: Yeti on May 10, 2021, 01:09:11 PM
    Of course there's inflation! You get inflation when you increase the money supply too fast. The government has printed vast oceans of money since March of 2020, at the same time that it prohibited most economic activity. This results in inflation. Even a child can understand this.

    I don't believe that anymore.  Currency values are all fake, and all this digital money is fake.  They set where the money prices are.  I don't believe that normal economic laws are in play.  Hey, let's just print 20 trillion more.  Why not?  There's international collusion taking place.
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    Online Ladislaus

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #11 on: May 10, 2021, 01:22:03 PM »
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    • Quote from: Stubborn on May 10, 2021, 11:55:27 AM
    These guys are offering $14k / week for truck drivers.

    I'm in the wrong business.  I think the driver shortage is propaganda.  What, did they all die of COVID?  Unemployment at +$300 per week isn't enough to disincentivize these guys from working, like it definitely has been for the minimum wage folks.
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    Offline Miser Peccator

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #12 on: May 10, 2021, 01:26:27 PM »
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    • So I have $1000 in cash and I'm thinking it might be a good idea to convert it into something tangible.

    I have about 4 months worth of food and supplies.

    What would be a good thing to have with regards to bartering etc.?
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    Offline Yeti

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #13 on: May 10, 2021, 01:36:32 PM »
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    • Quote from: Miser Peccator on May 10, 2021, 01:26:27 PM
    So I have $1000 in cash and I'm thinking it might be a good idea to convert it into something tangible.

    I have about 4 months worth of food and supplies.

    What would be a good thing to have with regards to bartering etc.?
    Ammunition: .223, 7.62x39, 9mm, .45ACP, .22LR, 12 gauge 00 buck, .308, etc.
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    Offline Yeti

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    Re: Shortage of Everything EQUALS hyperinflation
    « Reply #14 on: May 10, 2021, 01:40:27 PM »
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    • Quote from: Ladislaus on May 10, 2021, 01:19:40 PM
    I don't believe that anymore.  Currency values are all fake, and all this digital money is fake.  They set where the money prices are.  I don't believe that normal economic laws are in play.  Hey, let's just print 20 trillion more.  Why not?  There's international collusion taking place.
    I don't understand your position. You think those bailout payments were fake? I highly doubt that. I have no doubt they printed every last shiny, glimmering penny of that $6 trillion or whatever it was. It is only now starting to trickle down to the consumer level, where it is hitting the streets like a bad batch of crack.
    .
    Also, whether money is in digital form or paper bills or metal coins doesn't affect how it is used as a medium of exchange, so I don't see how the laws of economics would not apply to digital currency.
    .
    The laws of economics always work; just like the laws of physics or chemistry. They're inherent in the nature of things.
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