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Offline Matthew

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Market crash might be weeks away
« on: September 05, 2011, 05:33:03 PM »
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  • Credit Default Swaps Indicating Market Crash Might Be Weeks Away

    August 26th, 2011
    Via: Telegraph:
    A more severe crash than the one triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers could be on the way, according to alarm signals in the credit markets.
    Insurance on the debt of several major European banks has now hit historic levels, higher even than those recorded during financial crisis caused by the US financial group’s implosion nearly three years ago.
    Credit default swaps on the bonds of Royal Bank of Scotland, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and Intesa Sanpaolo, among others, flashed warning signals on Wednesday. Credit default swaps (CDS) on RBS were trading at 343.54 basis points, meaning the annual cost to insure £10m of the state-backed lender’s bonds against default is now £343,540.
    The cost of insuring RBS bonds is now higher than before the taxpayer was forced to step in and rescue the bank in October 2008, and shows the recent dramatic downturn in sentiment among credit investors towards banks.
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    Offline Ethelred

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #1 on: September 20, 2011, 08:47:40 AM »
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  • According to various sources we're about to see a potential bank-run in big French banks.

    The well known company Siemens is reported to have withdrawn 500 Million Euros from a big French bank to their own private bank outside of France, in order to save their money.

    Various serious media report that China stopped the trade with EU banks, mainly French banks because of their potential collapse.

    If this is true and the French banks should collapse via bank-run, then the entire Euro would collapse within a few days too, because compared to France the other already bankrupt EU nations like Greece, Italy, Ireland would be "peanuts" and no more socialist "bail-out" would be possible.

    This is very serious now.

    Since the Dollar and Euro are connected this would have an impact on the Dollar, too.


    P.S. It's said that Obama ordered several big Euro players (like Federal Republic of Germany's Merkel) to stay in the Euro, despite their wish as stronger Euro countries to leave the bankrupt fiat money named Euro and returned to their old currencies.
    But this is "just" the governments Obama can order. If the more decentralised and so called "big capital" (industry, banks, richer people, etc) decide to do a flight of capital, the Euro will fall whatever Obama ordered.


    P.P.S. In the Great Monarch visions thread I already mentioned the Bavarian foreseer Alois Irlmaier (1894 - 1959), because he's one of the best known and most seriously examined catholic visionaries of the newer time in the German-speaking areas. His visions are still "hot" so to say. Please let me repeat his timetable from the 1950's, which doesn't list dates but events and so actually is more handy :

    1. First there's a economic vitality like never before.
    2. A lapse of faith follows, like never before.
    3. Then a corruption of morals, like never before.
    4. A huge number of strangers flood the country.
    5. It comes a big inflation. Paper money looses its value more and more.
    6. Soon follows the revolution.
    7. Then suddenly and overnight the Russians raid the West. ( → World War III & Three Dark Days, but not the end of time!)

    I think we're in the middle of stage 5.
    However, an Euro (and Dollar) collapse would soon bring us to step 6. I'm not sure if the time is already ripe. Some serious observers think spring 2012 would be the "ideal" time for the revolutions. But that too is only a few months away...


    Offline gunfighter

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #2 on: October 03, 2011, 02:50:00 PM »
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  • My guess is that they will crash precious metals at the same time.  A lot of money has flowed to gold and silver.  Our wealth has been destroyed in the stock market and real estate crashes.  I believe metals will follow.

    Offline sedetrad

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #3 on: October 03, 2011, 06:22:30 PM »
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  • gunfighter,

    Agreed.

    Offline PartyIsOver221

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #4 on: October 03, 2011, 08:48:24 PM »
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  • Wow , I never even considered that. Silver and gold being devalued and blowaayyy.... there goes all the "preppers" wealth.

    I guess true wealth is in :

    1. The soul and state of grace

    2. Having food, food making products/supplies/tools/etc

    3. All the other stuff that gets used like clothes, shoes, toiletries


    Offline s2srea

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #5 on: October 03, 2011, 08:51:29 PM »
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  • Quote from: PartyIsOver221
    I guess true wealth is in :

    1. The soul and state of grace

    2. Having food, food making products/supplies/tools/etc

    3. All the other stuff that gets used like clothes, shoes, toiletries


    Great point PIO! I never thought about it but it makes perfect sense. Even if you have all the gold in the world, whats the point if no one will sell things to you (for gold) since it  has no practical use?!

    Offline Catholic Samurai

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #6 on: October 03, 2011, 09:46:18 PM »
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  • Quote from: s2srea
    Quote from: PartyIsOver221
    I guess true wealth is in :

    1. The soul and state of grace

    2. Having food, food making products/supplies/tools/etc

    3. All the other stuff that gets used like clothes, shoes, toiletries


    Great point PIO! I never thought about it but it makes perfect sense. Even if you have all the gold in the world, whats the point if no one will sell things to you (for gold) since it  has no practical use?!


    So what if it goes down with everything else? A commodity's value according to Wall Street is faulty at best. You can say such a thing is worth such and such on a screen, but that can be very far from the truth in the real world. I could use the price of corn for example.

    Gold and silver really shouldn't be looked at as mediums of exchange during a crisis, but rather as something to use as a necessary alternative to a savings account that can be tapped into at a latter time when commerce is back to normal. It's a long term investment (I'm talking about 5 years minimum).

    There is always going to be a natural demand for gold.


    PS. Don't get the wrong impression. I do NOT advocate having a gold or silver backed currency for obvious reasons.
    "Louvada Siesa O' Sanctisimo Sacramento!"~warcry of the Amakusa/Shimabara rebels

    "We must risk something for God!"~Hernan Cortes


    TEJANO AND PROUD!

    Offline Catholic Samurai

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #7 on: October 03, 2011, 09:49:29 PM »
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  • Having said that, I say you should invest in things that are going to help insure that you are going to be around/alive to enjoy your gold once everything blows over, such as non-electric tools, heirloom seeds, various skills,  etc.
    "Louvada Siesa O' Sanctisimo Sacramento!"~warcry of the Amakusa/Shimabara rebels

    "We must risk something for God!"~Hernan Cortes


    TEJANO AND PROUD!


    Offline Zenith

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #8 on: October 04, 2011, 01:02:34 AM »
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  • Quote from: gunfighter
    My guess is that they will crash precious metals at the same time.  A lot of money has flowed to gold and silver.  Our wealth has been destroyed in the stock market and real estate crashes.  I believe metals will follow.


    Possibly a good time to by gold and sliver then.

    Offline Ethelred

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #9 on: October 04, 2011, 08:43:30 AM »
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  • Quote from: gunfighter
    My guess is that they will crash precious metals at the same time.

    Since precious metals have their value inside and not printed on a paper sheet named fiat money, they're always, well, precious metals. A short, even a very short look at man's history shows this, and it won't change.

    Do you know one single gold/silver based currency which ever crashed? There's none. I've got a Maria Theresia thaler which was the silver coin based currency a long time ago in the Austrian Empire. It's no surprise it rougly has got the same value today. And this applies to any gold and silver based currency. Take a Krugerrand and try it.

    Of course you can't eat silver or gold coins. But as long as there's an existing trade in a society, precious metal will always be a compact medium of exchange.

    Offline gladius_veritatis

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #10 on: October 04, 2011, 09:48:49 AM »
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  • Sorry to interfere, but...

    Gold and silver do not really go up or down.  Other things, including all modern currencies, move in relation to them.  While TPTB may be able to 'crash' them once more (but only a little, IMO), the general trend is only going in one direction and that is up, UP, UP -- especially when it becomes universally known/accepted that the entire paper market for precious metals is just another fractional reserve scam and that 1000 people supposedly own the same ounce of gold!

    Anyone kept track of how many tonnes of Venezuela's gold have been delivered to Chavez since he demanded it?  Well, it is much, much closer to zero than it is to 211.  Why?  The Banksters who are supposed to have it...don't have it.  If a country cannot redeem its paper, some small-time, private schmuck isn't going to receive his, either, should he wait too long before he tries to take delivery.

    What you do with your money is your biz, but, if you buy any gold/silver/platinum, please have the sense to buy the PHYSICAL and do NOT place it in a bank, etc.
    "Fear God, and keep His commandments: for this is all man."


    Offline Matthew

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #11 on: October 04, 2011, 10:22:40 AM »
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  • Gold and silver have held value for MILLENIA.

    You have never seen gold & silver scattered in the street, having become worthless.

    This has happened to stocks and paper money countless times.

    Gladius is correct -- it's likely that the price of gold is way undervalued, because right now several people can own the same ounce -- what happens when the music stops and everyone runs to the nearest chair (musical chairs)? Gold goes from $1650 to $5000, $7000 -- who knows how high.

    Everyone will want physical, because a paper promise to deliver an ounce is just that -- a promise.
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    Offline Matthew

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    « Reply #12 on: October 04, 2011, 10:24:46 AM »
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  • And yes, you shouldn't worry about gold & silver unless you have some degree of wealth to be preserved. (Wealth = money over and above what you need to survive -- could be $1,000 or $1,000,000)

    You have to pay your bills, then buy some practical/useful equipment which can help keep you and your family alive -- and this includes land -- and THEN once you don't have anything else necessary to buy, it's advisable to put your savings into something like gold & silver rather than banks, stocks, and bonds.

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    Offline Ethelred

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #13 on: October 11, 2011, 02:15:41 AM »
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  • P.S. Mammon worshiper and broker Alessio Rastani telling in a BBC interview frankly that (the Jєωιѕн) Goldman Sachs rules the world, not the governments.
    Must see:

    Offline wisconsheepgirl

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    Market crash might be weeks away
    « Reply #14 on: October 11, 2011, 04:09:33 AM »
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  • Yes. Toiletries are very under valued and under appreciated. Specifically toilet paper.