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Offline Matthew

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Preparing for a blackout
« on: September 11, 2010, 12:27:14 AM »
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  • An EXCELLENT post from ModernSurvivalBlog:

    Survival preparedness for when the electricity goes off and there is no electrical power available due to a power outage. A blackout. Think about it.

    Our survival will depend upon the preparations and supplies that we have already made and stored at the time of the blackout.

    The point here is to encourage you to think about the possible scenarios and imagine life without electricity. Think about the different lengths of time you may be without power. Imagine each situation and the preparations that would have to be made.

    While you consider this, keep in mind that the human body will not survive beyond 3, maybe 5 days tops without water. You can survive many weeks without food, although you would be desperate, weak, and mostly unable to function. Also keep in mind your present location, the number of people that live around you, their proximity to you, the population density of the area, and remember that they will all be in the same circuмstance as you.

    If you are inclined to have a survival preparedness plan for a grid-down blackout scenario, you must first consider the probable length of time that the electricity will be off. The only way that you will discover this information is by gathering information. Unless you observed the cause or it is obviously due to a local event such as severe weather, you will need to find out from others. A battery powered portable radio (preferably including short wave bands) will be your information life line.

    Many broadcasting stations have backup generators and will probably still be on the air for awhile until their fuel runs out. You will probably soon discover the cause of the outage and probable length of time. You will take action accordingly.

    If you discover that there are no local stations broadcasting at all, even after allowing time for generator systems to start up, this will definitely indicate a worse problem. An EMP (electro-magnetic-pulse) weapon of sufficient power will fry most all electronics within line of sight from the detonation. This could be hundreds of miles or even thousands of miles. This is a worst case scenario, and one where your best chance of discovering the extent of damage will be listening to short wave radio broadcasts from other unaffected parts of the world who will be reporting on the incident.

    A somewhat more likely scenario may be a blackout grid down situation caused from a powerful X-class solar flare since we are now riding up the ramp to a forecast solar cycle peak during 2012. The energy from some types of solar flares can reach the Earth in 8 minutes. Most likely you will not have been warned. A powerful solar flare would probably not destroy the electronic infrastructure like an EMP could, however it certainly would have the potential to blow out the electrical power grids and destroy highly specialized grid transformers. A real problem within this scenario is the length of time it would likely take to build and replace the affected transformers. Some of the very high voltage transformers could take a year or more to build and replace.


    Blackout 0 to 24 hours

    Short lived power outages are quite common, and most all of us have an easy time dealing with it. We are inconvenienced, sometimes even have fun with it, but that’s about it. There is not too much preparation required here, some flashlights (some call them torches) and some common sense how to deal with the situation… things like keeping the refrigerator door closed until you absolutely need to get something out. No big deal.


    Blackout 1 to 7 days

    Of lesser likelihood are power outages that last from a day to perhaps as long as one week. This could be from storm damage such as a severe snow or ice storm taking down trees and power lines. A local tornado or hurricane may fit in this category, although the power could be out longer if you were in the target bulls-eye.

    If the event is localized, you always have the ability to get out of the area to an unaffected area until the damage is fixed and repairs are made. If you remain in the affected area, you will need at least a one week supply of food and water.

    Storing extra water is often overlooked, but without electricity the local pumps will not function and you will not have water pressure, even for your well. One week of water storage should be at least 7 gallons per person, preferably much more if you consider other common daily uses of water besides drinking (cooking, cleaning, toilet flush). A safe bet is two or even three gallons of water per person per day.

    This scenario may become uncomfortable but you will probably get through it okay with minimum preparations. A seven day city event could be trouble though, assuming that a high percentage of people have not prepared whatsoever, coupled with a high density population and desperation after day three.


    Blackout 1 to 4 weeks

    Even less likely are blackouts that last as long as several weeks or even one month. This could happen from a powerful enough solar storm that takes down a section of power grid and blows out enough transformers, etc… and take a number of weeks to repair. Again, if you are unlucky enough to be in the target of a severe weather event and/or if you live in an outlying remote area further away and are the last to be serviced for repair, it could possibly take weeks.

    Storing enough food for 4 weeks is pretty easily done, however storing enough water begins to get tricky. Now we’re looking at a 55 gallon water drum per person. How many of you have that kind of storage? You’re okay if you have a water supply nearby, a way to transport it to your home,  and a method of filtration. Remember, water is more important to your immediate survival than food.

    In this time frame, unless you have a septic system, local sewage treatment plants will be out of commission. Depending on your geographical topographical location (are you uphill from the rest of the town…), you may not have sewer drainage, and yes this is something else to think about.

    Also consider how you will cook your food or keep warm if it’s winter.

    Those that are without power for this length of time and have not prepared (like most people), will become very desperate after one week. If the outage occurs in a densely populated area, safety will be of very high concern. If the outage is only regional and help comes quickly enough and with enough organization and supply, the safety risks will be less but will still be of high concern.

    Regarding safety concerns during a long term blackout, remember that if you have prepared by having food, water, and supplies, there will definitely be others that will looking for clues to identify who you are so as to take what you have for their own survival. Civility will be gone. If you have a method of producing light, you will be quickly identified at night, even from far away. You may want to consider a preemptive plan to purchase window covering material. If you have a method to generate power, a region without electricity will be very quiet and any equipment noise that you generate will be an instant identifier.  Solar panels will be an obvious identifier unless hidden from view. Your preparedness will act as a magnet for others who will be drawn to your location. It will be best to provide ‘donations’ on your terms rather than their terms, so be careful what you do. This kind of thinking is not ‘paranoid’, it will be reality, no doubt about it.


    Blackout 1 to 12 months (or more)

    Least likely, but conceivable, is a blackout that lasts longer than one month to perhaps as long as one year or more. Such a scenario would change life as we know it, assuming it occurs in a wide area, e.g. much or all of the USA or much of Europe, etc… There would be significant population die off, some estimate up to 90%.

    A very severe solar storm event has the potential to take out an entire electrical power grid infrastructure. Although a more unlikely scenario, it is a docuмented fact that the power companies do not have enough spare transformers on hand, particularly the extremely expensive very high voltage transformers, all of which take a long amount of time to manufacture.

    Additionally, history has proven that some solar cycles have produced extremely powerful solar storms (Solar SuperStorm of 1859) that if they had occurred today, would indeed probably have brought down the power grids, damaged satellites, and wreak havoc on other electronic systems. Today’s modern technology has advanced very quickly and has never been tested by this phenomenon. To make matters worse, a very high percentage of the entire population depend entirely on these systems to function for their very survival.

    A controversial subject is the possibility of an EMP attack. It is technologically possible, and apparently not terribly difficult or expensive (relatively speaking) to devise such a weapon and use it against a nation or region. If executed properly, such an EMP weapon could not only bring down the electrical grid, but could also destroy the very fabric of the electronic infrastructure in most all of our technological systems. If successful, this would truly be one of the worst case scenarios for survival and length of recovery.

    To prepare for something like this is orders of magnitude more involved and requires or will require a complete changeover to a way of life that is anything but modern. The purpose here is not to detail the things that you may need to do, but to encourage you to think about the possibilities and to decide for yourself what you are going to do about it.


    Modern conveniences that require electricity

    In no particular order, this is a brainstorm list of conveniences in your home or life (surely there are many more) that require electricity to operate. As the blackout time lengthens, you will need substitutes or alternative power sources for some of these items. Also keep in mind that the longer the power outage lasts, the more likely it will be that others will notice or discover your preparedness, and may themselves try and take them from you out of desperation or criminal intent.

        * Lights
        * Oven – Stove – Microwave oven
        * Refrigerator
        * Freezer
        * Hot water heater
        * Dishwasher
        * Washing machine and dryer for clothes laundering
        * Air conditioning
        * Heating (Electric heat, Oil heat), natural gas okay until pressure runs out, propane tank okay until empty
        * Running water except from gravity fed system, pumps will be out including well water pumps
        * Sewage treatment systems
        * Television, (including delivery systems – Cable, Satellite)
        * Internet
        * Your computer
        * Radio (until transmitter generator fuel is out) Shortwave radio receivers on batteries okay
        * Land line phones (okay until integrated battery systems run out of power)
        * Cell phones (transmitting towers and personal phones)
        * Gasoline station pumps
        * ATM cash machines
        * Cash registers and checkout machines at stores
        * Stores cannot be open and functional without power (not like the old days…)
        * Traffic lights
        * Police and Fire response (communication systems will be down)
        * Hospitals (okay until generators run out of fuel)
        * Irrigation systems – mass agriculture
        * Public transportation systems
        * Distribution systems for food and most other supplies
        * Vehicle transportation (when your existing fuel runs out)
        * Air travel



    Think about it.
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    Offline JoanScholastica

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    Preparing for a blackout
    « Reply #1 on: September 16, 2010, 06:18:36 PM »
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  • As I've said before, power interruption is not uncommon here and we're actually used to it....

    IMHO, the Western countries would find it hard to cope rather than the Asian countries.... Maybe it's because of our backwardness...


    Offline St Jude Thaddeus

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    Preparing for a blackout
    « Reply #2 on: September 16, 2010, 07:44:22 PM »
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  • Living in the "backward" Third World I have also become accustomed to frequent brown- and blackouts. Most of the time they only last for a few hours, sometimes all night.

    1994 was really bad, though, because the central hydroelectric plant which generated 50% of the country's energy was down. Sometimes we were without power for several days at a time. People who could afford them bought generators, but running a gas generator gets expensive over time. Fortunately most people here cook with gas stoves so at least we could get something hot to eat! The big supermarkets had generators for their freezers and the poorer people always shop at the outdoor markets where food comes in fresh every day. I suppose something similar would have to be devised for the USA.
    St. Jude, who, disregarding the threats of the impious, courageously preached the doctrine of Christ,
    pray for us.

    Offline Alexandria

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    Preparing for a blackout
    « Reply #3 on: September 16, 2010, 08:04:31 PM »
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  • We were without electricity for three days and nights 15 years ago in the middle of November.  If it wasn't for our kerosene heater and the fact that we had extra cash on hand, I don't know what we would have done.  


    Offline St Jude Thaddeus

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    Preparing for a blackout
    « Reply #4 on: September 17, 2010, 09:02:22 PM »
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  • Quote from: Alexandria
    We were without electricity for three days and nights 15 years ago in the middle of November.  If it wasn't for our kerosene heater and the fact that we had extra cash on hand, I don't know what we would have done.  


    All the more reason to not confide in any big company or government agency to supply your basic needs. When it comes to "executives" and bureaucrats, I quote LBJ: "I trust 'em about as far as I can throw their boot filled with sand."
    St. Jude, who, disregarding the threats of the impious, courageously preached the doctrine of Christ,
    pray for us.


    Offline JoanScholastica

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    Preparing for a blackout
    « Reply #5 on: September 21, 2010, 03:36:52 AM »
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  • Just a few minutes ago, we got a straight 8-hour power interruption.