This “study” (an opinion piece really) doesn’t tell us a lot of things, like what cell phone activity are they measuring? And, as with most phenomena, there are almost always a multitude of factors involved, often in flux. What is observed is rarely the result of a singular “the sky is falling” hysteria.
I think Miseremini in Reply #1 provided one of the causes. Whatever one may think about the whole Covid situation, it provided a lot of people the opportunity to “take a break” and reflect on how they spend their time and resources. I worked part time for our local library in 2020-2021 and check out data showed a big increase in interest in things like cooking, gardening and DIY topics. As things opened back up I think a lot of people decided that spending hundreds of dollars every weekend at the downtown dancing and drinking clubs and high end restaurants wasn’t that satisfying or useful. Those who were able to work remotely sometimes took advantage of the situation to sell their high value urban and suburban habitations and move to more pristine and less congested locations while putting A LOT of change in their pockets. The other side of that coin was that property values and rents started increasing in “small town America”. Yet, outside of some "rust belt" cities we're not seeing falling housing prices in major urban areas.
Last September I went to an annual state conference held for people involved with food banks (I’m on the board of a St. Vincent DePaul Conference), which was in Bremerton, WA. Planning ahead I snagged a cheap ticket and flew to Seattle from Pasco and took the Link light rail from the airport to Pioneer Square in the downtown region, which was 2 blocks from the ferry terminal (the best way to get to the Kitsap Peninsula). Coming and going I had some time to roam around that part of the city, including a gyro at a “hole in the wall” Greek restaurant one day and on Friday take-away Fish & Chips from Ivar’s (a Seattle institution since the 1930’s). I checked out the newly remodeled (beautifully restored) King Street Rail Station, the Seattle public library main branch (it appeared very busy), and just roamed around before catching the Link back to the airport. I saw no empty nor boarded up shop fronts and things seemed pretty bustling. My observation was similar when later in the fall I took a day trip on Amtrak to Portland, OR. Yes, they have the tent cities, though I’ve never felt unsafe or had a problem while visiting a stamp collectors' shop or Powell’s bookstore, the world’s largest independent book seller, both downtown. Yes, REI is closing their downtown Portland location. What was not disclosed in the article is that REI has one of their larger retail sites at Jansen Beach (in the northwest corner of Portland) with lots of parking. If people want to shop at REI they will easily drive to Jansen Beach (the public transit link is not as convenient as downtown but still doable). REI will retain all the downtown business while drastically cutting their operational overhead … sounds like prudent business thinking rather than “fright and flight” to me. My brothers went to Portland last week for a motorcycle show and visited cousins who have a condo two blocks from the train station, they had a great trip. I need to do an Amtrak excursion soon.
One can fine all the “hysteria” and “apocalyptic fear mongering” they want on the interweb. Prior to “www” there were plenty of tabloids and pamphleteers delivering the same "message". Somehow society carried on and survived. I’ve always found real world experience and data from direct observations (while properly adjusting for sample size and factors not part of what’s observable) to be more reliable that most of what I see in the “net zone”.