I'd agree that Fr. Pagliarani was selected to be a +Fellay or +Fellay-ite sock puppet, just like when Medvedev stood in for Putin for a few years ... and everyone knew that Putin still held the reins of power. There's no way someone like a Fr. Pagliarani would have been appointed a superior at all if he hadn't been on board with the modernizing agenda. We see some of the most orthodox, holy, and talented priests tucked away in straw+mud huts in Nigeria or in retreat houses precisely because they can't have any kind of public voice to offset their agenda.
Despite the theatrics, the kayfabe ... I am of the opinion that this entire little dispute we PRE-SCRIPTED right out of the gate. This tries to make Fr. Pagliarani seem like a "strong man" among the SSPX laity so that when he actually caves and there's some arrangement, people would be less suspicious about its having been pre-arranged.
They will have permission from Rome, either shortly before or will be "absolved" shortly afterwards, depending on the psychological effect they want to have ... except that the consecrands will be among the worst of the worst.