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Offline Matthew

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True polls show huge lead for Trump
« on: August 15, 2016, 07:38:43 PM »
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  • The Clinton campaign is in deep trouble.

    The Clinton campaign is falling apart. Last night my wife was watching a local station and they were doing a political analysis show with so-called experts. My wife told me she had paused the show so I could watch and I muttered something about the fact that I would rather do the laundry, mow the law and wash all of our clothes, but I gave in at her insistence.

    I was dumbstruck by what I saw. A TV station straight out of the MSM boldly stating that at the present time, Clinton does not engender the trust needed to get elected. In fact, they said that barring a dramatic turn-around, Clinton cannot win, regardless of what the polls are saying. In fact, one analyst said that the CNN poll showing Clinton was holding a seven point lead was fiction. They pointed to the fact the most recent LA Times poll showed the race was a dead heat.

    The analysts said she has the email problem, the Benghazi problem and now allegations have surfaced about the Clinton Foundation’s “pay to play” regarding arms deals with terrorist-supporting states.

    The analysts took their shots at Trump, and they did not go far enough into the criminality of Clinton, but needless to say, I was in shock that so much truth was revealed in an MSM presentation.

    The Clinton campaign is falling apart and here are some hard and fast markers in support of this statement.

    Finally, a Statistically Valid Election Poll
    In previous articles, I have been highly critical regarding the methodology employed by the MSM in determining that Clinton held a 10 point lead. The randomization, or lack thereof, is a key component on why the MSM polls are not to be believed.  If you interview a sample with 80% of the participatnts being Democrats, you are going to get a 10% Clinton lead. If you interview mostly unemployed people, the same results will occur. But in terms of predicting HONEST election results, these polls are not worth the paper they are written on. Further, the small sample sizes for many of these polls is too small to form a generalized conclusion about America as a whole.

    One poll was conducted which did randomly select an equal number of voters in each part with an equal number of independent voters. The results are stunning and this poll maintained the statistical rigor to form generalizing conclusions about the true nature of the political feelings in this country.

    Max Von Solow- PG Farnsworth
     
    “We have just completed our own poll since we cannot get factual information from the mainstream media!! we called 1000 homes in each of the 50 states and asked basic questions on the economy, terrorism, immigration and presidential pick.
    Economy was the number one factor that Americans are concerned about and terrorism was number two.
    Presidential pic was Trump by a large percentage
    Trump 33478 votes 67%
    Clinton 9788 Votes 19%
    Undecided or other 6739 votes 13%
     
    My friends and I are Graduate students from all walks of life we meet to discuss stuff 13 people who like and have served in the military. It took us most of two weeks to be sure our calls were to all people and not just one party or the other we called Americans.. our poll is by taking registered voter lists and we accuмulated 33% repub, 33% dems and 34% ind.. our poll consisted of 1000 calls per state. all 50 states. 50,000 people are in this poll not the 100 like other polls.”
    Can massive voter fraud overcome a 46 point lead?  Maybe, but that is a lot of serious cheating that cannot be subtly covered up. Here is a video summary of what these results mean to the overall election and future of this Presidential race.



    More Legal Trouble for Clinton
    We conclusively know that FBI Director, James Comey, is corrupted and compromised, but apparently, many of his field agents have not gotten the word that Clinton’s criminality is out of bounds for the FBI to investigate.

    From the MSM outlet, MSN, they just released the following damaging report regarding Hillary Clinton.

    “Multiple FBI investigations are underway involving potential corruption charges against the Clinton Foundation, according to a former senior law enforcement official.

    The investigation centers on New York City, where the Clinton Foundation has its main offices, according to the former official who has direct knowledge of the activities.

    Prosecutorial support will come from various U.S. Attorneys Offices — a major departure from other centralized FBI investigations.

    The New York-based probe is being led by Preet Bharara, the U.S. attorney for the Southern District of New York. Bharara’s prosecutorial aggressiveness has resulted in a large number of convictions of banks, hedge funds and Wall Street insiders.”

    Even if the results of this investigation are covered up by Comey and Loretta Lynch, can Clinton survive another round of criminal investigations? I am not sure.

    Another Round of Wikileaks Revelations
     gulen
     
    “Wikileaks has released emails, showing intimate Clinton ties with Fethulleh Gülen,
    that go back to 1997, during the early stages of Operation Gladio B, when Gülen was brought to the United States, to serve the purposes of the CIA’s and Clinton Administration’s strategy for Central Asia, the Caucasus and
    the Middle East.
     
     clinton foundation contributors
    Gülen and his major role in the CIA’s
    and NATO’s Operation Gladio B.
    According to Sibel Edmonds, the
    objectives of Gladio B are:
    “Projecting US  power in the
    former Soviet sphere of influence
    to access previously untapped
    strategic energy and mineral
    reserves for US and European
    companies; pushing back Russian
    and Chinese power; and
    expanding the scope of lucrative
    criminal activities, particularly
    illegal arms and drugs trafficking.”
    More Revelations Suggesting That Clinton’s Campaign Is Unraveling
    Real True News (RTN)  allegedly conducted an interview with a DNC insider who demanded anonymity.

    RTN published an interview on August 7, between RTN‘s Max Insider and an unnamed source within the Democratic National Committee (DNC). The source says Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign is imploding because every weapon they’ve deployed against Donald Trump has failed, and Hillary may soon drop out of the race.

    Here’s what the RTN’s DNC source stated:

    “Trump is polling far better than what the MSM say

    “Not only is Trump’s polling far better than the media narrative shows but the even more predictive Social Media scene has collapsed to ‘landslide’ proportions in favor of Donald Trump.”

    Trump’s campaign is more adept at using social media than Hillary’s

    “Hillary inherited Obama’s ‘Victory Lab’ and analytics–but that was all geared to 2012 which was still pretty primitive by today’s standards–and to Mitt Romney who might as well have been a caveman by today’s standards. Things . . .  changed. [quietly] Hillary didn’t…. Trump is what changed.”

    None of the Democratic Party’s tried-and-true attack methods works against Trump

    “None of the old strategies work on him [Trump]…. We called our opponents racist. It worked–like, 93-98 times out of a hundred–people would back down. Run. Back then there was zero counter-narrative. McCain played it soft-ball. Romney was pretty clean but he wasn’t ready to get nasty and take the heat. All their surrogates? Allies? Only Sarah Palin had the woman-card. That was it. We crushed them. Their online-portion of the vote? It was smaller than today–but they were demoralized. Shut down…. None of our focus groups were Trump voters. We just didn’t bring any of them in at the start. We tried racist. We tried misogynist. We tried anti-Islam. It worked on our focus people. On Trump voters? No effect–reverse even…. It made them stronger–more committed. I’ve never seen anything like it. It’s like Trump didn’t collapse when we tired it on him and suddenly it didn’t work any more…. Right now tests have shown that attack-ads almost never have any lasting impact. Events like conventions? Like debates? They determine who answers the phone–not who changed their vote. The social media front might be the biggest deal going…. We have our response team go hard–racist. Sexist. Social Justice up the ass. It just pisses everyone off. It changes nobody’s mind.”

    Hillary campaign has fake followers and the media’s collusion

    “We bought fake followers. That used to be what everyone did. Trump? His guys are all real. We’ve got media-established narratives. Our coms-team works with the major outlets to shape the stories.That’s traditional. He doesn’t even have a Coms [Communications] Team–he just fires off tweets and they all go viral. Every last damn one…. We’ve paid like–like 300k for Politico. They [Trump campaign] paid nothing and they’ve got Breitbart. You know who Trump voters trust? Brietbart. Look at the numbers.”

    Conclusion
    The pattern is so clear that a blind man could see Clinton’s campaign is imploding. Few trust her and for good reason. And then there is the Clinton health issue.  Further, Wikileaks has promised email links which will tie Clinton to known Saudi Arabian terrorists connected with 9/11.

    I look for a dramatic shift in tactics by the DNC and the elite that the DNC takes their marching orders from. They cannot allow Clinton, in her depleted condition, to ever get into a debate with Donald Trump in the present political atmosphere.

    The odds are increasing that there will not be an election in November, the wheels are coming off of this nєω ωσrℓ∂ σr∂єr bus.

    From Dave Hodges, "The Common Sense Show"
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    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #1 on: August 15, 2016, 08:55:21 PM »
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  • Matthew,

    You should be old enough to remember the Presidential Election in 1980
    in which the establishment polls showed Jimmy Carter way ahead of
    Ronald Reagan.  As it turned out, Reagan won in a landslide.  I can
    remember Jimmy Carter on TV conceding the election before the polls
    closed on the West Coast causing many Democrats not to vote.

    I barely remember the election of 1948 in which the polls showed that
    New York Governor Thomas Dewey way ahead of them President
    Truman.  The early votes seen to confirmed the Dewey Victory in which
    the Chicago Tribune came out and proclaimed that Dewey Defeats
    Truman in the Headlines.  As more votes came in, Truman won.


    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #2 on: August 15, 2016, 09:22:22 PM »
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  • The following is related and may explained a probable Trump Landslide. In
    the town I live in I cannot find a single person voting for Hillary and it is
    overwhelming Democratic and voted for Birnie Sanders at the primary.

    The Real Existential Threats of 2016

    Patrick J. Buchanan

    Posted Tuesday 8/16/16

     http://buchanan.org/blog/real-existential-threats-2016-125538

    By Patrick J. Buchanan

    On Sept. 30, the end of fiscal year 2016, the national debt is projected to reach $19.3 trillion.

    With spending on the four biggest budget items — Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, defense — rising, and GDP growing at 1 percent, future deficits will exceed this year’s projected $600 billion.

    National bankruptcy, then, is among the existential threats to the republic, the prospect that we will find ourselves in the not-too-distant future in the same boat with Greece, Puerto Rico and Illinois.

    Yet, we drift toward the falls, with the issue not debated.

    Ernest Hemingway reminded us of how nations escape quagmires of debt: “The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.”

    “Debauching the currency,” Lenin’s depiction, is the way we will probably destroy the debt monster.

    Hemingway’s second option, war, appears to be the preferred option of the war chiefs of the Beltway’s think-tank archipelago, who see in any Putin move in the Baltic or Black Sea casus belli.

    What our Cold War leaders kept ever in mind, and our War Party scribblers never learned, is the lesson British historian A. J. P. Taylor discovered from studying the Thirty Years War of 1914-1945:

    “Though the object of being a Great Power is to be able to fight a Great War, the only way of remaining a Great Power is not to fight one.”

    Another existential threat, if Western man still sees himself as the custodian of the world’s greatest civilization, and one yet worth preserving, is the Third-Worldization of the West.

    The threat emanates from two factors: The demographic death of the native-born of all Western nations by century’s end, given their fertility rates, and the seemingly endless invasion of the West from Latin America, Africa, Asia and the Middle East.

    Concerning the demographic decline and displacement of Western man by peoples of other creeds, cultures, countries, continents and civilizations, there is an ideological clash within the West.

    Some among our elites are rhapsodic at the change. Worshiping at the altars of diversity and equality, they see acquiescing in the invasion of their own countries as a mark of moral superiority.

    Angela Merkel speaks for them, or did, up to a while ago.

    To those who believe diversity — racial, ethnic, religious, cultural — is to be cherished and embraced, resistance to demographic change in the West is seen as a mark of moral retardation.

    Opponents of immigration are hence subjects of abuse — labeled “racists,” “xenophobes,” “fascists,” “nαzιs” and other terms of odium in the rich vocabulary of Progressive hatred.

    Yet, opposition to the invasion from across the Med and the Rio Grande is not only propelling the Trump movement but generating rightist parties and movements across the Old Continent.

    It is hard to see how this crisis resolves itself peacefully.

    For the hundreds of millions living in Third World tyranny and misery are growing, as is their willingness to risk their lives to reach Europe. And national resistance is not going to dissipate as the illegal immigrants and refugees come in growing numbers.

    What the resisters see as imperiled is what they treasure most, their countries, cultures, way of life and the future they wish to leave their children. These are things for which men have always fought.

    And, in America, is diversity leading to greater unity, or to greater rancor, separatism and disintegration? Did anyone imagine that, 50 years after the civil rights laws, we would still be having long hot summers in Ferguson, Baltimore and Milwaukee?

    The crisis that South Carolina statesman John C. Calhoun had posthumously predicted in his “Disquisition on Government” has also come to pass.

    The country would divide into two parties, Calhoun said. One would be the party of those who pay the taxes to government, the other the party of those who consume the benefits of government.

    The taxpayers’ party would engage in constant clashes with the party of the tax-consumers.

    In 2013, the top 1 percent of Americans in income paid 38 percent of all income taxes. The bottom 50 percent of income-earners, half the nation, paid only 3 percent of all income taxes.

    A question logically follows: If one belongs to that third of the nation that pays no income taxes but receives copious benefits, why would you vote for a party that will cut taxes you don’t pay, but take away benefits you do receive?

    Traditional Republican platforms ask half the country to vote against its economic interests. As a long-term political strategy, that is not too promising.

    During the New Deal, FDR’s aide Harold Ickes, declared in what became party dogma, “We shall tax and tax, spend and spend, and elect and elect.”

    And so they did, and so they do. But this is a game that cannot go on forever.

    For, as John Adams reminded us, “There never was a democracy yet that did not commit ѕυιcιdє.”

    Share Pat's Columns!


    Offline Sbyvl

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #3 on: August 15, 2016, 09:23:18 PM »
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  • I'm not buying this notion that the polls are skewed against Trump, because Republicans said exactly the same thing four years ago, and they lost by even more than the polls suggested they would.
    I apologize for all rude, calumnious, uncharitable, and unchristian posts I have made, and I retract them.

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #4 on: August 15, 2016, 09:36:46 PM »
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  • Quote from: Sbyvl
    I'm not buying this notion that the polls are skewed against Trump, because Republicans said exactly the same thing four years ago, and they lost by even more than the polls suggested they would.


    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than
    Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb
    Iran.
    Trump has got many people to vote whom have not voted in years. He
    also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.
    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    Offline Neil Obstat

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #5 on: August 15, 2016, 11:11:45 PM »
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  • Correction:
    Trump has got many people to vote who have not voted in years.

    The correct word is "who," not "whom."

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Quote from: Sbyvl
    I'm not buying this notion that the polls are skewed against Trump, because Republicans said exactly the same thing four years ago, and they lost by even more than the polls suggested they would.

    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb Iran.
    Trump has got many people to vote whom [who] have not voted in years.

    He also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.

    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    In numerous posts you have continued to use "whom" where it does not belong.

    Whom is used when the person to whom it refers is the object of the verb or a preposition (for example, "to whom" in this present sentence, "whom" is the object of "to" -- meaning, it immediately follows "to" and it answers the question "to what?").

    In your sentence, "to vote" is a verb, the infinitive tense.  So there is no object of a preposition, nor is "who" immediately following "to."

    .--. .-.-.- ... .-.-.- ..-. --- .-. - .... . -.- .. -. --. -.. --- -- --..-- - .... . .--. --- .-- . .-. .- -. -.. -....- -....- .--- ..- ... - -.- .. -.. -.. .. -. --. .-.-.

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #6 on: August 16, 2016, 08:23:38 AM »
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  • Quote from: Neil Obstat
    Correction:
    Trump has got many people to vote who have not voted in years.

    The correct word is "who," not "whom."

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Quote from: Sbyvl
    I'm not buying this notion that the polls are skewed against Trump, because Republicans said exactly the same thing four years ago, and they lost by even more than the polls suggested they would.

    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb Iran.
    Trump has got many people to vote whom [who] have not voted in years.

    He also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.

    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    In numerous posts you have continued to use "whom" where it does not belong.

    Whom is used when the person to whom it refers is the object of the verb or a preposition (for example, "to whom" in this present sentence, "whom" is the object of "to" -- meaning, it immediately follows "to" and it answers the question "to what?").

    In your sentence, "to vote" is a verb, the infinitive tense.  So there is no object of a preposition, nor is "who" immediately following "to."



    You must be an English Teacher.

    Sorry for my bad grammar.   I just want to get a point across.

    I suffered a head concussion years ago.

    Offline Peter15and1

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #7 on: August 16, 2016, 10:37:40 AM »
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  • Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than
    Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb
    Iran.


    I have a strong suspicion that the same thing is going to happen to Trump, just with a different group of Republicans.

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Trump has got many people to vote whom have not voted in years. He
    also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.


    True, but to be fair, he also had the most votes cast against him (i.e., for another candidate) in the primaries than any other Republican in history.  This is why I believe a large segment of GOP voters will either stay home or vote for someone else in November.

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    True enough!  It will certainly be interesting.


    Offline Prayerful

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #8 on: August 16, 2016, 10:43:59 AM »
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  • Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Quote from: Sbyvl
    I'm not buying this notion that the polls are skewed against Trump, because Republicans said exactly the same thing four years ago, and they lost by even more than the polls suggested they would.


    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than
    Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb
    Iran.
    Trump has got many people to vote whom have not voted in years. He
    also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.
    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    This time Hillary Clinton seems to have an ardour for bombing the Syrian Arab Republic, which at least Pres Obama was wise enough to decline. Even more worryingly, although one of her flunkies made money from uranium trading with Russia, she wants to double down on confronting Russia in the Ukraine. HRC is not just dangerous to the unborn child.

    Offline JezusDeKoning

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #9 on: August 16, 2016, 11:35:11 AM »
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  • If Trump continues to crash and burn like he's doing now, he's going to lose.

    Now that's with a caveat: So will Clinton. I sincerely can't imagine her winning the 2020 election. She will get old with the voting public quickly.
    Remember O most gracious Virgin Mary...

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #10 on: August 16, 2016, 11:44:25 AM »
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  • Quote from: Peter15and1
    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    That is because about 9 million Republicans stayed home rather than vote.
    They did not like Mitt Romney and saw him more dangerous than
    Obama.
    These same voters saw the same in McCain. Remember Bomb, Bomb
    Iran.


    I have a strong suspicion that the same thing is going to happen to Trump, just with a different group of Republicans.

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Trump has got many people to vote whom have not voted in years. He
    also received the largest vote tally in the primaries than any other
    Republican in history.


    True, but to be fair, he also had the most votes cast against him (i.e., for another candidate) in the primaries than any other Republican in history.  This is why I believe a large segment of GOP voters will either stay home or vote for someone else in November.

    Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    We have to wait and see. There are three debates coming up that Hillary
    cannot run from.


    True enough!  It will certainly be interesting.


    This is all because of the negative reporting by the mass media that refuses
    to expose the scandals and the treason of Hillary's emails and the Clinton
    Foundation raking in tons of money. Many Americans are either ignorant
    of the email scandals or because of the lack of exposures by the media.
    The debates will bring this out.
    I know a guy that is spending life in Federal Penitentiary because of his
    abuse of highly classified materials.  Just think, Hillary's used her
    server that was not pass word protected. In the thousand of emails she
    may have given away secrets to unfriendly governments. You certainly
    do not want friendly governments to know all our secrets.  The Iranian
    Nuclear Scientists that was hung recently may have been a victim of
    these emails that exposed him.
    A vote for Hillary is a vote of the continued criminal occupation of our
    government.


    Offline TKGS

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #11 on: August 16, 2016, 11:52:01 AM »
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  • I hate to throw cold water on everyone, but people were saying the very same thing about "true polls" vs. the "fake polls" of the mainstream media prior to both elections of Obama.

    I really don't know whether any of this is really believable.

    Offline CathMomof7

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #12 on: August 16, 2016, 02:46:40 PM »
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  • Quote from: RomanCatholic1953
    Matthew,

    You should be old enough to remember the Presidential Election in 1980
    in which the establishment polls showed Jimmy Carter way ahead of
    Ronald Reagan.  As it turned out, Reagan won in a landslide.  I can
    remember Jimmy Carter on TV conceding the election before the polls
    closed on the West Coast causing many Democrats not to vote.

    I barely remember the election of 1948 in which the polls showed that
    New York Governor Thomas Dewey way ahead of them President
    Truman.  The early votes seen to confirmed the Dewey Victory in which
    the Chicago Tribune came out and proclaimed that Dewey Defeats
    Truman in the Headlines.  As more votes came in, Truman won.


    I was a teenager in the South in 1980.  I remember it well.  My parents, like most Southerners, were Democrats.  My parents had done a lot of grass roots work for Carter in his first election and they were standing with him then.  My Dad was convinced Jimmy Carter was going to win because of the polls.  When Jimmy Carter conceded it was almost like Alabama had lost to Auburn.  He was in shock.  


    Offline TKGS

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #13 on: August 16, 2016, 03:02:06 PM »
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  • Quote from: CathMomof7
    When Jimmy Carter conceded it was almost like Alabama had lost to Auburn.  He was in shock.  


     :roll-laugh1:

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    True polls show huge lead for Trump
    « Reply #14 on: August 16, 2016, 03:57:14 PM »
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  • We have to consider vote fraud through electronic voting machine.
    These machines are easily hacked with no proofs of the fraud. Many
    of our electronic voting machines are counted by foreigners and from foreign
    nations such as Spain.
    Trump would have to win by more than 20% to override the voting fraud.
    This happened with Brexit when the actual votes were 70%/30% and was
    able to override the massive voting fraud.

    More on vote fraud in the 2012 Election:

    http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2012/09/13/fact-check-does-soros-own-an-overseas-company-that-will-count-u-s-votes/