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Offline AlligatorDicax

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Hurricane Matthew
« on: September 30, 2016, 03:33:00 PM »
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  • Name assigned from 2016 list of preselected names, when promoted to a tropical storm by (U.S.) National Hurricane Center, on Michaelmas.  Now promoted not only to a hurricane today (08:00?), but also to a major hurricane (11:00?): "MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 120 MPH... 195 KM/H" (14:00).

    Current forecast early landfalls (landsfall?), albeit mine very unofficial as verbalized from the NHC "5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center" map(s)
    • :
    Mon. 08:00: Jamaica.
    Mon. 20:00: Cuba, approx. 76°W, near Santiago de Cuba (Cuba Oriente, thus W. of Git'mo, the latter being near 75°W).
    Tue. 20:00: Tropic of Cancer & approx. 76°W (thus approx. Great Exuma I., Bahamas); or if[/b]  it were to veer farther W'ward (altho' not officially forecast) Wed. 08:00: Florida Upper Keys.  It needs to begin its sharp starboard turn Sat. (tomorrow) 08:00, if it's to begin making good on its current forecast to miss the U.S. Southeast
    • .


    It was already unusually large when it was merely the tropical storm Matthew: So maybe a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for CathInfo's owner-moderator to see his name go down into modern secular weather history.

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    Note *: NHC doesn't use generic maps.  Right now, <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/145010.shtml?5-daynl> seems to be refreshable manually to incorporate the trihourly NHC updates (i.e.: "145010" may uniquely designate the storm).  But sometimes it seems that each  forecast map is assigned a different Web address.  If so, start with <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/>; scroll down to "Hurricane MATTHEW", then click "Warnings/Cone Static Images".  Times shown are U.S. Eastern Time currently in effect, thus Eastern Daylight Time.

    Note @: E.g.: Palm Beach (E'most place in Florida) very close to 80°W; to Key Largo stretching approx. 80 1/4°W--80 2/3°W in the Upper Keys; to Key West outside 80 3/4°W in the Lower Keys.


    Offline Last Tradhican

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #1 on: September 30, 2016, 03:43:49 PM »
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  • Strange trajectory, they have it making like a 90 degree turn North. Those Southern Hurricanes usually head toward Yucatan and South of it.

    The Vatican II church - Assisting Souls to Hell Since 1962

    For there shall arise false Christs and false prophets, and shall show great signs and wonders, insomuch as to deceive (if possible) even the elect. Mat 24:24


    Offline MyrnaM

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #2 on: September 30, 2016, 05:34:20 PM »
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  • And then there is this:

    Please pray for my soul.
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    Offline AlligatorDicax

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #3 on: September 30, 2016, 10:56:33 PM »
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  • Quote from: AlligatorDicax (Sep 30, 2016, 4:33 pm)
    Now promoted [...] to a major hurricane (11:00?): "MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ... 120 MPH... 195 KM/H" (14:00).

    Certainly an ambitious hurricane.  Today's key numbers from the (U.S.) National Hurricane Center:
    11:00: 115 mi./hr. sustained.
    14:00: 120 mi./hr. sustained.
    17:00: 140? mi./hr. sustained[×].
    20:00: 150 mi./hr. sustained.
    23:00: 160 mi./hr. sustained.

    Quote from: Last Tradhican (Sep 30, 2016, 4:43 pm)
    Strange trajectory, they have it making like a 90 degree turn North.

    Indeed.  Quite a dramatic change to expect from a hurricane that's become a monster that ought to be able to go wherevvvvvver it wants to.  There's no corresponding monstrous high squatting smugly in the middle--or south end--of the Gulf (of Mexico) to force such a sharp turn.  The nearest high that I see on maps is sitting over Dallas (Tex.).  Maybe there's 1 over Panama, Nicaragua, or Honduras, but none such appear on the maps or satellite photos I've seen thus far.

    Quote from: Last Tradhican (Sep 30, 2016, 4:43 pm)
    Those Southern Hurricanes usually head toward Yucatan and South of it.

    Yep.  The "DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK" in the NHS public advisories don't offer any explanations for forecasting such a sharp turn.

    Quote from: AlligatorDicax (Sep 30, 2016, 4:33 pm)
    if[/b]  it were to veer farther W'ward (altho' not officially forecast): Wed. 08:00: Florida Upper Keys.  It needs to begin its sharp starboard turn Sat. (tomorrow) 08:00, if it's to to begin making good on its current forecast to miss the U.S. Southeast [....]

    23:00: W. side of the NHC "5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center" has  now been extended W'ward over Upper Keys and Lake Okeechobee, and enclosing Palm Beach.  Considering what would normally be considered a highly implausible forecast track from earlier today, that revision is not surprising at all.

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    Note ×: I seem to be unable to access older NHS public advisories for confirmation of any I'd missed; the NHC Web site seems to be set up to redirect older advisories to the current one.

    Offline AlligatorDicax

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #4 on: October 01, 2016, 12:06:56 AM »
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  • Quote from: Last Tradhican (Sep 30, 2016, 4:43 pm)
    Strange trajectory, they have it making like a 90 degree turn North.

    Indeed.  But the image that originally appeared in your reply (4:43 pm) might not continue to illustrate that: Are you aware that, because you chose to use a direct inclusion of the NHC image, it's automatically replaced by the current image from NHC?  Not only whenever anyone loads the CathInfo page that contains your reply, but also in at least some cases, when someone uses the 'back' button on a page loaded many hours earlier?   Alas, the NHC Web site is configured to be set up to redirect older images, so that the requesting browser loads the current image instead.

    Quote from: AlligatorDicax (Sep 30, 2016, 11:56 pm)
    Note [...]: I seem to be unable to access older NHS NHC public advisories for confirmation of any I'd missed; the NHC Web site seems to be set up to redirect older advisories to the current one.

    Aha!   Those issues have solutions:  I found the NHC archive page.  But mañana, already!


    Offline Neil Obstat

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #5 on: October 01, 2016, 12:21:52 AM »
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  • Quote from: Last Tradhican
    Strange trajectory, they have it making like a 90 degree turn North. Those Southern Hurricanes usually head toward Yucatan and South of it.


    It's headed straight for the Devil's Triangle!



    .--. .-.-.- ... .-.-.- ..-. --- .-. - .... . -.- .. -. --. -.. --- -- --..-- - .... . .--. --- .-- . .-. .- -. -.. -....- -....- .--- ..- ... - -.- .. -.. -.. .. -. --. .-.-.

    Offline AlligatorDicax

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #6 on: October 01, 2016, 11:13:01 AM »
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  • Quote from: AlligatorDicax (Oct 01, 2016, 1:06 am)
    Aha! [....]  I found the NHC archive page.  But mañana, already!

    I don't recall ever seeing a tropical storm intensify into a top-ranked hurricane like Matthew has thus far 
    • :
    Thu. 11:00:  70 mi./hr. sustained: Still a mere tropical storm.
    Thu. 14:00:  75 mi./hr. sustained: Promoted to hurricane (pop the corks for CathInfo's owner-admin namesake over there in south-central Texas, and say a prayer on this Feast of St. Michael the Archangel)!
    Thu. 17:00:  75 mi./hr. sustained.
    Thu. 20:00:  75 mi./hr. sustained.
    Thu. 23:00:  80 mi./hr. sustained.
    Fri. 02:00: 100 mi./hr. sustained.
    Fri. 05:00: 100 mi./hr. sustained.
    Fri. 08:00: 105 mi./hr. sustained.
    Quote from: AlligatorDicax (Sep 30, 2016, 11:56 pm)
    [....] key numbers from the (U.S.) National Hurricane Center:
    [Fri] 11:00: 115 mi./hr. sustained.
    [Fri] 14:00: 120 mi./hr. sustained.
    [Fri] 17:00: 140 ?  mi./hr. sustained [×] [confirmed via archive].
    [Fri] 20:00: 150 mi./hr. sustained.
    [Fri] 23:00: 160 mi./hr. sustained.

    Sat. 02:00: 160 mi./hr. sustained.
    Sat. 05:00: 155 mi./hr. sustained: Demoted to cat.-4.
    Sat. 08:00: 155 mi./hr. sustained.
    Sat. 11:00: 145 mi./hr. sustained; slowed to 6 mi./hr. (9 KM/H).

    At least it's been headed due W. since at least 05:00, no longer any compass bearing that's S. of W.   So it might turn out to be the beginning of the previously forecast turn (i.e.: rotation of its heading) to starboard, altho' we in Florida need it to be a more prompt turn than I believe we're eventually gonna see.  With the day's renewed solar energy, when & if it frees its S'ern outer bands from the drag of the S.-American coast (esp. Pta. Gallinas and the rest of La Guajira: the peninsular far-northern tip of Colombia), I assume it'll be able to crank up its sustained winds again.

    -------
    Note #: The notorious Andrew (another liturgical-red II-rank major saint!) might be worthy competition, but I was living on the Left Coast at the time.  Altho' the WorldWideWeb had been released via UseNet newsgroups in August 1991, I suspect that the (U.S.) National Hurricane Center didn't yet have a WWW site to keep out-of-state spectators informed, back when Andrew arrived 1 year later (to the month).

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    Offline Last Tradhican

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #8 on: October 03, 2016, 07:37:27 PM »
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  • Quote from: Last Tradhican
    Strange trajectory, they have it making like a 90 degree turn North. Those Southern Hurricanes usually head toward Yucatan and South of it.



    Well, it did do that 90 degree turn North:

    The Vatican II church - Assisting Souls to Hell Since 1962

    For there shall arise false Christs and false prophets, and shall show great signs and wonders, insomuch as to deceive (if possible) even the elect. Mat 24:24

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #9 on: October 03, 2016, 10:25:27 PM »
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  • As of 10-3-16 23:00.  This is a MONSTER.

    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #10 on: October 04, 2016, 08:16:14 AM »
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  • Matthew may hit the US as a Category 5 Hurricane

    Sputniknews.com

    https://sputniknews.com/us/20161001/1045911698/hurricane-matthew-jamaica-united-states.html


    Offline MyrnaM

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #11 on: October 06, 2016, 09:13:35 AM »
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  • Quote
    The center extended its hurricane warning area farther north into Georgia and more than 12 million U.S. residents were under hurricane watches and warnings, according to the Weather Channel.

    Roads in Florida, Georgia and North and South Carolina were jammed and gas stations and food stores ran out of supplies as the storm approached, carrying with it strong storm surges, heavy rain and sustained winds that accelerated overnight to about 125 miles per hour (205 kph).

    The damage could be "catastrophic" if Matthew slammed directly into Florida, Governor Rick Scott warned, urging some 1.5 million people in the state to heed evacuation orders.

    “If you're reluctant to evacuate, just think about all the people who have been killed,” Scott said at a news conference on Thursday. “Time is running out. This is clearly either going to have a direct hit or come right along the coast and we're going to have hurricane-force winds."


    https://www.yahoo.com/news/hurricane-matthew-kills-26-caribbean-destructive-path-u-024242928.html?ref=gs
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    Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #12 on: October 06, 2016, 04:53:19 PM »
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  • Offline RomanCatholic1953

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #13 on: October 06, 2016, 09:09:16 PM »
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  • The Demonic Face of Hurricane Matthew as it passes Haiti:

    Offline JezusDeKoning

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    Hurricane Matthew
    « Reply #14 on: October 06, 2016, 10:42:29 PM »
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  • The colors are just the hurricane and the intensity of the storm. Like, this is a once in a decade storm and those are the colors the Weather Channel uses to express something like that.
    Remember O most gracious Virgin Mary...