1. I don't think that UA is determined by the laity, or priests, since they have no business in electing him.
2. It would be determined by the Cardinals, and if they accept him, then it's a sign he's the pope, since it's their job to elect him to begin with.
3. The fact that many theologians, including +Bellarmine, say that the Cardinals would declare a pope a heretic, gives some credence to the fact that they have the highest priority in all of this.
4. Regarding +Francis, we already know that 4-5 Cardinals signed the "dubia" letter, as a sign that there is not UA concerning his orthodoxy. I do not know if there are any Cardinals who think that +Benedict's resignation is null.
5. I don't think any Trads have to worry about proving any V2 popes were not elected (except for sedes). I'm perfectly fine with the theory that they were validly elected, but immediately spiritually impaired due to heresy (either before or after the election, and most likely, both).
6. UA is not really important, for our present situation. What matters more is the litmus test of orthodoxy, which all V2 popes fail in miserably.