Just getting to this topic now, but I certainly agree with you, Matthew. Sedevacantism (and sedeprivationism, for that matter) are seriously problematic, but I've talked with so many adherents to those opinions who believe that they're not only certain, but that it's obvious that they are. Many people build their entire worldviews on it.
A lot of the citations about the ability of the Church to exit Rome used to defend sedevacantists are very, very poor. For instance, Cardinal Billot's quotes are usually used to defend an imperfect council to elect a new Pope, but Billot actually implies a need for the election to be done with Roman clergy, whereas, since there is no ordinary jurisdiction and no actual Roman clergy left with the sedevacantist ones (or SSPX ones for that matter), it doesn't seem possible to elect a Pope. Plus, the sedevacantists don't even agree as to whether or not most of their clergy are heretics concerning Baptism of Desire and Invincible Ignorance, and many sedevacantists have flat out excommunicated one another. Their ecclesiology is probably even worse off than the Orthodox.
Then there is the matter of this quote from the Syllabus of Errors: "There is nothing to prevent the decree of a general council, or the act of all peoples, from transferring the supreme pontificate from the bishop and city of Rome to another bishop and another city." (This was condemned, not accepted.)
The only situation where something like this could happen is like with the Avignon Papacies, where the Bishop of Rome and his college of Cardinals actually went to a different location together. Hence, it was clear that the Church was alive and well at this time, regardless of who the Pope was (we now know it was Pope Martin V, but in the schism, no one knew for sure). If the Church isn't in Rome, it needs to be identified with the Bishop of Rome and the clergy appointed by him, but according to sedevacantists, there is no clergy presently appointed by a real Pope, nor an actual Pope to speak of. So, at the very best, there is a Church that's not visible, which is impossible.
I think this is why the sedevacantist clergy haven't elected a Pope: they can't. They can use sedeprivationism as an out, but I really don't think it's a strong out. If there's any need to restore the Papacy, as all sedeprivationists agree, then the Papacy has defected. But the Papacy is indefectible: it can never defect. This doesn't mean it's only impossible for the Papacy to whither out and be impossible to restore... it means that it can never defect in any way.
This is nothing against many sedevacantists who are honest in that it's simply a theological opinion, but MANY sedevacantists go way too far and start anathematizing people who disagree for honest reasons.