I would expect a genuine consecration from a legitimate pope to have a rather immediate and dramatic and obvious effect. God requested this consecration precisely so that the world will understand that it was a miraculous turn of events that could only be attributed to Our Lady's intercession and not amenable to some natural explanation.
Unfortunately, Bergoglio did not truly meet the conditions requested by Our Lady. I wish he had because THEN if nothing happened, it would be additional solid evidence that Bergoglio is not a legitimate pope.
Russia clearly controls Eastern Ukraine, and Kyiv and Lviv are saved only because that wasn't really the Russians' objective. Of course, now we have the situation flaring up in Lithuania.
That's kind of what I was trying to get at. My thinking was that it did not, of course, have an immediate or dramatic effect, but that Almighty God might have received it as a kind of "partial fulfillment", and that perhaps He gave us the partial gift of the war having been somewhat mitigated, and that it no longer seems that the whole of Ukraine is in existential danger, at least not for now.
WRT the Lithuanian situation, I don't think NATO is going to cut off routes and supplies to Kaliningrad. Letting the Soviets take Königsberg was one of the worst things to come out of the Allied victory. Too bad it couldn't have been kept as a neutral "free city" like Danzig after WWI, an Austria writ small, or even a prorupted part of the DDR.