If the Siri thesis is false, JP2 could have been elected validly (per the conclave changes by both St Pius X and Pius XII) and been a "materially/govt/human aspect" valid pope. All of the spiritual penalties he incurred before his election (due to his unorthodox opinions, actions, etc) would immediately go into force, the second the conclave was over. Thus, JP2 would've been 'spiritually impounded' (to use Fr Chazal's phrase) and have no spiritual authority due to heresy/excommunications, etc. Added to these excommunications (if such is possible) would be all the numerous, scandalous, sacrilegeous, blasphemous actions he did AFTER the election, and his status as a 'heretic' is unquestionable.
We all hope he repented before death, but based on exterior evidence only, JP2 will go down as one of the most horribly anti-catholic popes in history....even if he held the material office.