CathInfo.com

The 2026 data from SwipeStats puts a lot of things into perspective. They analyzed data exports from thousands of real profiles, and the numbers show exactly how skewed the like distribution is on Hinge.
The top 1% of guys get 16.4% of all likes from women. The top 10% get 58%, and the top 25% pull in over 80% of all likes. That leaves the bottom half of men fighting over a tiny 4.3% sliver of the pie. Combined with a 60/40 male-to-female gender ratio and the fact that women only swipe right 6% of the time, the average guy is stuck with a 2% to 5% match rate.
If you aren't in that top 10% to 25% bracket, Hinge is basically a waste of time and energy. The top quarter of men completely monopolize female attention. For the other 75% of guys, the app is a desert. Because most women are swiping up at the top tier of profiles, they rarely send likes to regular guys. The few organic likes an average or below-average guy actually gets in his inbox are almost always from the absolute bottom tier of the platform, meaning options he would never want to date in real life.

https://www.swipestats.io/blog/hinge-statistics

The data shows women swipe right on only 6% of profiles, meaning they completely filter out 94% of the pool. If 400 women send only 6% of their likes, and those likes are heavily concentrated on that top, those 100-150 men get almost all the volume.
The proof is in the final match rates. Women have a massive 44% match rate, meaning nearly half their selective swipes turn into matches. Men have a brutal 5% match rate.
If women were matching with average guys, the male match rate would be way higher. The 5% male match rate proves that the bottom 75% of men (450 guys) are getting virtually zero engagement, while the 44% female match rate proves their highly selective swipes are successfully landing with that top 25% of men.