I'm basing it on what Alphonsus taught above.
And the mistaken opinion on St. Alphonsus was due to a lack of deeper understanding regarding the Ordinary Universal Magisterium ... which wouldn't be defined clearly until Vatican I. Pursuant to the Vatican I definition, St. Alphonsus would no doubt have revised his opinion. He simply saw a number of prominent theologians (big-named Jesuits) proposing this opinion and he called it less probable for that reason, because a minority of theologians held it.
But just because something remains uncondemned with explicit condemnation doesn't mean it's not heresy or error. Again, Lutheranism, Pelagianism, Arianism, Nestorianism ... all these flourished for a significant length of time before they were explicitly condemned by the Church -- that did not make Arianism a "less probable" opinion, simply because it remained uncondemned; Arianism was a heresy from the inception. It's just that it took people a little while to wake up to it and explicitly condemn it.